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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation 50+ times | 100% | 0 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Good afternoon | 100% | +2 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 40+ times | 100% | +20 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Median | 100% | +4 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump | 0% | −8 pts | −8 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation 60+ times | 0% | −15 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Goal 15+ times | 100% | +43 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Recession | 0% | −48 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pandemic | 100% | +26 pts | +32 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | +67 pts | +77 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff 15+ times | 0% | −26 pts | −29 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Unemployment / Employment 20+ times | 100% | +15 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Probability | 100% | +62 pts | +67 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Anchored 3+ times | 0% | −56 pts | −43 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Comment | 100% | +22 pts | +24 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Downbeat | 0% | +24 pts | +30 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 391d | hitjnn214 | Inflation 50+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,928 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 391d |  noreasapa | Inflation 50+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $2,048 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 391d |  d1namiiit | Inflation 50+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $3,532 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 391d |  gnagna | Inflation 50+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $4,034 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 392d | wubddh | Inflation 50+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $5,012 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 393d | 0330330332 fills | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,501 | +$36 +0.1% | 20 |
| 393d |  Bertapotamous5 fills | Inflation 50+ times | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $26,797 | −$525 −2.0% | — |
| 393d |  TeemuPukki | Inflation 50+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $2,794 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 393d | d1namiiit | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,532 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 393d |  UPSTAGE | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 394d | Bertapotamous5 fills | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $9,870 | +$441 +4.5% | 20 |
| 394d |  SPIT | Inflation 50+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $2,744 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 394d |  BeneGesseritVoice | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,744 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 394d | SPIT | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,293 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 394d |  UwO3 fills | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $10,768 | +$904 +8.4% | 20 |
| 394d |  0xdc3E831cad | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,888 | +$113 +6.0% | 20 |
| 394d | hitjnn2142 fills | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $6,139 | +$369 +6.0% | 20 |
| 394d |  TealV | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,885 | +$115 +6.1% | 20 |
| 394d | yellowcorn3 fills | Inflation 50+ times | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,426 | −$307 −9.0% | — |
| 394d | Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc2 fills | Inflation 50+ times | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $13,901 | −$1,487 −11% | — |
| 394d | affs20791 | Inflation 50+ times | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,851 | −$149 −8.1% | — |
| 394d | affs20791 | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,203 | +$93 +4.2% | 20 |
| 394d |  brodiaga | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,082 | +$264 +4.3% | 20 |
| 394d |  scout | Inflation 50+ times | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,650 | −$350 −7.5% | — |
| 394d | gnagna | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,662 | +$276 +7.5% | 20 |
| 394d |  dakprescott | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,589 | +$147 +9.3% | 20 |
| 394d | Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc4 fills | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $5,597 | +$1,129 +20% | 20 |
| 394d | Bertapotamous5 fills | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,747 | +$93 +0.8% | 20 |
| 394d | 0xbett | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,100 | +$446 +14% | 20 |
| 394d |  Ahpo | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,978 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 394d | EGGGGGGGGGGGGGG2 fills | Inflation 40+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $4,413 | −$16 −0.4% | — |
| 394d |  Burnmoneyuser2 fills | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,399 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 394d | JigglyPuff | Inflation 40+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $11,370 | −$49 −0.4% | — |
| 394d |  davester182 fills | Inflation 50+ times | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,785 | −$355 −13% | — |
| 394d |  Car | Inflation 50+ times | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,892 | −$238 −13% | — |
| 394d | pbshine | Trump | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 394d |  Dropper | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $2,690 | +$1,720 +64% | 20 |
| 394d |  aenews2 | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,219 | +$781 +64% | 20 |
| 394d | scout3 fills | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,318 | +$20 +0.3% | 20 |
| 394d | Bertapotamous | Inflation 50+ times | SellNo92¢ → 0¢ | $1,246 | +$1,246 +100% | — |
| 394d |  Infringe | Inflation 50+ times | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 20 |
| 394d | Car | Inflation 50+ times | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 20 |
| 394d |  AgricultureSecretary | Inflation 40+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 394d | AgricultureSecretary | Inflation 50+ times | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 20 |
| 394d | Bertapotamous | Good afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $9,085 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 394d | aenews2 | Inflation 50+ times | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,154 | −$1,154 −100% | 20 |
| 394d | noreasapa3 fills | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $8,394 | +$334 +4.0% | 20 |
| 394d | Bertapotamous | Inflation 50+ times | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,581 | −$1,581 −100% | 20 |
| 394d | clutchdaddy | Inflation 50+ times | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $1,273 | −$1,273 −100% | 20 |
| 394d |  YoBart | AI / Artificial Intelligence | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,502 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 394d |  CnCo | Inflation 50+ times | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $2,088 | −$2,088 −100% | 20 |
| 394d |  .jeet | Inflation 60+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 394d | noreasapa2 fills | Inflation 60+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,251 | +$149 +1.0% | 20 |
| 394d | Dropper | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,292 | +$43 +1.0% | 20 |
| 394d | Plain-BirdbathNew account | AI / Artificial Intelligence | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 394d |  MettaWorldPeace00 | Good afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $4,578 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 394d |  TheWolfOfPoly | Pandemic | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | +$60 +2.0% | 20 |
| 394d | JigglyPuff | Trump | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$45 +4.3% | 20 |
| 394d |  Patroclus | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,762 | +$18 +1.0% | 20 |
| 394d |  BipBop | Goal 15+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,371 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
CnCo7,648 shares
MakeEthereumGreatAgain3,420 sharesJerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 17, 2025, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by September 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Inflation 50+ times means the market gives it about 100%.