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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Job 7+ times | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Amazon | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China 5+ times | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Beautiful coal / Clean coal | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rare Earth | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Drill baby drill | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Green new scam | 100% | +69 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Frack / Fracking | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nvidia | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chip | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pipeline | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stargate | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 458d |  MrZarvok | Nvidia | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,029 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 458d | MrZarvok | Elon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,103 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 458d |  matachod | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,894 | +$29 +1.0% | 20 |
| 458d | Sharky6999 | Chip | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,022 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 458d |  Patroclus | Green new scam | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,490 | +$89 +6.0% | 20 |
| 458d | cocococococo | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | +$168 +15% | 20 |
| 458d |  TheWolfOfPoly | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,938 | +$62 +1.0% | 20 |
| 458d | Patroclus | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$21 +2.0% | 20 |
| 458d | matachod3 fills | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,835 | +$107 +2.8% | 20 |
| 458d | matachod | AI / Artificial Intelligence | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,607 | −$177 −6.8% | — |
| 458d |  Naichli | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$83 +7.1% | 20 |
| 459d | Naichli | Amazon | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$1,009 +89% | 20 |
| 459d | emma3986 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | −$113 −11% | — |
| 459d |  betwick | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$110 +10% | 20 |
Frosen932 shares
Berluscoin423 sharesDonald Trump is expected to deliver a speech at the Energy and Innovation Summit scheduled for July 15 at the Carnegie Mellon campus. You can read more about that here: https://www.cmu.edu/student-affairs/messages-from-the-dean/pa-energy-and-innovation-summit.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's scheduled main appearance at the "Energy and Innovation Summit" event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 15 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for AI / Artificial Intelligence means the market gives it about 100%.