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Polymarket wallet 0x8453f146ef03e2da49e718b8974dbb79c1f2778d · on Polymarket since Apr 21, 2025 · also shown as Dismal-Immigration
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4,000 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $3,620 | −$20 −0.5% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 142 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$124 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,800 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,908 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,200 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,692 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.