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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Percent 7+ times | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Iran | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden 4+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stupid / Low IQ | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Friend of Mine | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| European Union / EU | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff 6+ times | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Auto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wind / Solar | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fake News | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Drone | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NATO | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Greenland | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Too Late | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| President Xi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Supreme Court | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ICE / Border Patrol | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Angela / Merkel | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| France | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cold / Colder | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ripped / Ripping | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227d |  Bertapotamous | Biden 4+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,103 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | strotgen | Percent 7+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,406 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 227d | polybettor | Auto | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 227d |  bamesjond | Wind / Solar | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,209 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | Carrylicious | Auto | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $3,953 | +$1,615 +41% | 20 |
| 228d |  AgricultureSecretary | Stupid / Low IQ | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,287 | +$113 +4.9% | 20 |
| 228d |  PantheraUncia | Iran | SellYes>99¢ | $1,049 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | AgricultureSecretary | Supreme Court | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | +$31 +2.5% | 20 |
| 228d | AgricultureSecretary | Tariff 6+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | +$21 +1.7% | 20 |
| 228d | AgricultureSecretary | European Union / EU | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$25 +2.5% | 20 |
| 231d |  CrazymadTrad | Friend of Mine | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $2,630 | −$2,630 −100% | 24 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a meeting with Chancellor Merz of Germany on March 3, 2026 (see https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/296130249729874). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Chancellor Merz on March 3, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Chancellor Merz. All such events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Percent 7+ times means the market gives it about 100%.