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Polymarket wallet 0x7bf83fb1428d85e14cee4ea0223fd9d92cb8c6e1 · on Polymarket since Jan 22, 2026 · also shown as Occasional-Willow
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 7+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 276 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 27 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 11 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.