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Polymarket wallet 0xbd51dd918fe9ba5f80d64327d5bc902dedcc8169 · on Polymarket since Mar 1, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Percent" 7+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 40¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$2 +150% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9 | 23¢ → 16¢ | $1 | −$1 −33% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +19% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 78 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Golden Dome" this week? (March 1)Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 228d | Will Trump say "Percent" 7+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz? | BuyYes40¢ | $1 |
| 228d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BuyYes84¢ | $1 |
| 230d | Will Trump say "Golden Dome" this week? (March 1) | BuyYes18¢ | $1 |
| 230d | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 230d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyYes23¢ | $2 |
| 230d | Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | BuyNo8¢ | $1 |
| 230d | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? | BuyNo3¢ | $2 |
| 230d | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026? | BuyNo7¢ | $1 |
| 230d | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BuyYes49¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.