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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The State of the Union is strong | 0% | −28 pts | −60 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| America / American 25+ times | 100% | +3 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −26 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden 10+ times | 0% | −42 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| America / American 50+ times | 100% | +17 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | 100% | +13 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Epstein | 0% | −12 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Job 20+ times | 0% | −64 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hockey | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Six Seven | 0% | −11 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hottest | 100% | +14 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 2+ times | 100% | +19 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alien | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nobel / Peace Prize | 100% | +75 pts | +53 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Israel / Gaza | 100% | +7 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 7+ times | 100% | +21 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala / Harris | 0% | −31 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Egg | 100% | +30 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gold Card / Trump Card | 0% | −38 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Middle East | 0% | −86 pts | −77 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mr. Speaker | 0% | −89 pts | −80 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | 0% | −86 pts | −76 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Olympic / Olympics | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oil / Gas 3+ times | 100% | +15 pts | +28 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Miracle | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fake News | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Coal | 0% | −84 pts | −59 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Black / Hispanic | 0% | −70 pts | −64 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Too Late | 0% | −38 pts | −56 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| IQ | 0% | −25 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No No No | 100% | +85 pts | +87 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kennedy / Autism | 0% | −61 pts | −65 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| UFC | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drill Baby Drill | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Peanut | 0% | −9 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scam / Hoax | 100% | +24 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Supreme Court | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cookie | 0% | −14 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Steroid | 0% | −13 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fentanyl / Cocaine | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Eli Lilly | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Capital of the World | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234d |  .ethguy2 fills | The State of the Union is strong | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,748 | −$252 −5.3% | — |
| 234d | Djibooty | Job 20+ times | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,840 | −$122 −2.1% | — |
| 234d | printerG | America / American 25+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $2,103 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 234d |  alpaje | Mr. Speaker | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | −$20 −2.0% | — |
| 234d |  1BeaNataTime | The State of the Union is strong | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 234d | cobaltwhisper23 | The State of the Union is strong | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,540 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 234d |  Debosnys2 fills | The State of the Union is strong | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,397 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 |
| 234d |  bamesjond | The State of the Union is strong | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 234d | Alive-Gumshoe | The State of the Union is strong | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,485 | −$124 −1.9% | — |
| 234d |  khai13 | MAGA / Make America Great Again | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 234d | bamesjond | Job 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,615 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 234d | TheLastOfMachine | Mr. Speaker | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,684 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 |
| 234d |  C78123 | America / American 25+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,770 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | TheLastOfMachine | Middle East | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,370 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 234d | TheLastOfMachine | Kennedy / Autism | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,131 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 234d |  choppah | The State of the Union is strong | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | −$17 −1.7% | — |
| 234d |  bosshog | The State of the Union is strong | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$15 +0.6% | 20 |
| 234d | Alive-Gumshoe2 fills | The State of the Union is strong | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,725 | +$71 +1.2% | 20 |
| 234d | Alive-Gumshoe | America / American 50+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $4,427 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | j5600 | America / American 50+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $2,398 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | ForFamily | Capital of the World | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,540 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 234d | Scrubdaddy | Job 20+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | −$10 −0.9% | — |
| 234d | ForFamily2 fills | Miracle | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,239 | +$13 +0.3% | 20 |
| 234d | bichless | Nuclear | SellYes>99¢ | $2,775 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 234d |  Oxhunt2049 | America / American 50+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,030 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 234d | Mileiskocixh | Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,885 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 234d |  charliegooseman | The State of the Union is strong | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,024 | −$38 −1.9% | — |
| 234d | Mrhack210291 | Israel / Gaza | SellYes>99¢ | $2,087 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | unseenfire5 | Job 20+ times | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | −$65 −6.2% | — |
| 234d | usDccrlk | Middle East | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,085 | −$16 −0.5% | — |
| 234d |  tunatyler | Egg | SellYes>99¢ | $1,498 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | Lukashopphopp | Six Seven | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 234d |  AlfredTheShiller | Border 7+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $2,509 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | Trustinghorse | The State of the Union is strong | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,874 | +$74 +1.9% | 20 |
| 234d | chocolate123 | Too Late | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,789 | +$179 +3.1% | 20 |
| 234d | charliegooseman | The State of the Union is strong | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$62 +3.1% | 20 |
| 234d | troim | Six Seven | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,960 | +$40 +1.0% | 20 |
| 234d |  WiseUp2RiseUp | Six Seven | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,499 | +$101 +1.3% | 20 |
| 234d |  RememberAmalek | MAGA / Make America Great Again | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | +$189 +15% | 20 |
| 234d |  noreasapa | The State of the Union is strong | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $19,068 | +$844 +4.4% | 20 |
| 234d |  Do-Not-Redeem | America / American 50+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,817 | +$118 +3.1% | 20 |
| 234d |  qjrPM1 | AI / Artificial Intelligence 2+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,899 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | noreasapa2 fills | America / American 50+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,419 | +$193 +1.3% | 20 |
| 234d | LIQUID8dCAP | AI / Artificial Intelligence 2+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,190 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | imsuperlate | AI / Artificial Intelligence 2+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,036 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 234d |  LadyLuck22 fills | Biden 10+ times | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,139 | −$325 −10% | — |
| 234d |  MajidJavadi | Epstein | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,586 | +$217 +14% | 20 |
| 234d | qjrPM1 | Hottest | SellYes>99¢ | $3,596 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | j5600 | America / American 25+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $5,993 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | Alive-Gumshoe | America / American 50+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$26 +2.0% | 20 |
| 234d | usDccrlk | Biden 10+ times | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,643 | −$294 −11% | — |
| 234d | 0xB29304109238401 | AI / Artificial Intelligence 2+ times | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,492 | +$381 +15% | 20 |
| 234d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Oil / Gas 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,609 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 234d |  Dragontree | Border 7+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | −$13 −0.8% | — |
| 234d | MMatt2 fills | America / American 25+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,190 | +$22 +0.1% | 20 |
| 234d | 10KWarrior | Oil / Gas 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,540 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 234d | chocolate123 | Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,272 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 234d | Djibooty | Alien | SellYes>99¢ | $2,305 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | 10KWarrior | Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,291 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 234d |  BeneGesseritVoice | America / American 50+ times | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,405 | +$328 +14% | 20 |
thecountdooku21,499 shares
Sbezhat11,639 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for The State of the Union is strong means the market gives it about 0%.