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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $505 | 0% | −1 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $360 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $445 | 100% | +28 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $375 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $315 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $420 | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $350 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $475 | 100% | +28 pts | +42 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $460 | 100% | +26 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $275 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $405 | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $385 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $395 | 100% | — | — | 88¢ · 100¢ (12¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | toxictaker | ↓ $350 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,288 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | newt | ↓ $360 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,349 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | newt | ↓ $315 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,940 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | newt2 fills | ↑ $505 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,589 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | newt | ↓ $375 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,684 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | newt | ↓ $275 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,058 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 306d |  Birdof | ↑ $475 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,728 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 309d | Birdof2 fills | ↑ $460 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,887 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 317d | MistahFox3 fills | ↑ $445 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,844 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 318d |  PicklePredictor | ↑ $445 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,730 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 326d |  Ahpo2 fills | ↑ $420 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,846 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 327d | hydroflask | ↑ $405 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,095 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 327d | MAGA.ONE | ↑ $405 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,881 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 327d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↑ $405 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,119 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
What price will Tesla (TSLA) hit before 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ $505 means the market gives it about 0%.