| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 526 | 28¢ → 13¢ | $69 | −$76 −52% |
| Will Figure's F.03 robots run for less than 8 hours without failure?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 387 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,710 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$282 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,026 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 329 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 329 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,804 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,046 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 197 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,944 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,001 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 541 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,463 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 17 above $425?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 503 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$289 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on or prior to May 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,032 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Grok 4.20 released by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 340 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,944 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 177 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$115 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,046 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 329 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $350–375 in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 1 above $440?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 116 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 1 above $425?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 193 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 340 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of December 8 above $315?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 15 above $455?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 149 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 32 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $440-$445 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 1 – Dec 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 122 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,227 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,330 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$81 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 329 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $325–350 in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 175 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$68 −100% |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,502 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,944 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $435-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 195 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 834 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,944 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $435-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 1 – Dec 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 479 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $445-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 1 – Dec 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,260 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$206 −100% |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,951 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,046 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 444 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,944 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 1 above $430?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 353 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,760 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$67 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 329 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,046 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,944 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 15 above $450?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 172 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 366 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 8 above $430?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,429 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,946 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$74 −100% |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on December 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 101 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| Will another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Claude 4.7 not be released by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 329 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,463 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 644 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 22 above $490?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,463 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 219 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$66 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on or before April 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,944 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,463 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 329 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 1 above $455?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 573 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$165 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of December 8 above $180?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 22 above $495?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,046 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,600 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,046 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,604 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 792 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,046 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Tesla dip to $450 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 93 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 329 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 236 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 8 above $470?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 17 above $405?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 240 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,046 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,031 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 170 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$88 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $375–400 in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 353 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,001 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,046 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,413 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,944 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,944 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,131 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 29, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 329 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
