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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Bill passed by Jan 31 | 100% | 0 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January 21 | 0% | −100 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 22 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 23 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 24 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 25 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 26 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 27 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 28 | 0% | 0 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 29 | 0% | −6 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 30 | 0% | −3 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 258d |  ScottyNooo | January 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,674 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 258d | SlavaUkraini2 fills | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,837 | +$50 +0.3% | 4 |
| 258d | Admirable-Poem | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,031 | −$29 −0.6% | — |
| 258d |  NotMasterFan | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,927 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 259d |  devoteeOfBeshaba | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,386 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 259d | 2117 | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,710 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
| 259d | NotMasterFan | January 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,679 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 259d | Admirable-Poem | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$26 +0.5% | 4 |
| 259d |  flow-trader-at-optiver | January 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,410 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 259d | influenz.eth | January 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,179 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 259d | devoteeOfBeshaba2 fills | January 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,333 | +$17 +0.5% | 4 |
| 259d |  Plant2tri | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,881 | +$19 +1.0% | 4 |
| 260d | ttttr324 | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,415 | +$42 +1.2% | 4 |
| 260d | ttttr324 | January 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,418 | +$34 +1.4% | 4 |
| 260d | Rivs | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | −$131 −9.3% | — |
| 260d | Real-Advertisement | January 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | +$15 +1.4% | 4 |
| 260d | ScottyNooo | January 30 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,379 | +$88 +6.3% | 5 |
| 260d | betsilog | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,412 | −$278 −20% | — |
| 260d | WickRick | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,854 | +$645 +35% | 8 |
| 260d | TEIN2026 | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,402 | +$413 +29% | 8 |
| 260d | ScottyNooo | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $9,255 | +$2,923 +32% | 8 |
| 260d |  Jep-G | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $3,040 | +$960 +32% | 8 |
| 260d |  pentagonworker | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,359 | +$502 +37% | 8 |
| 260d | TEIN2026 | January 30 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,593 | +$539 +21% | 7 |
| 261d | PikaCHU448 | January 28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,551 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 261d |  DirkDiggler672 fills | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $3,173 | −$3,173 −100% | 15 |
| 261d | Real-Advertisement | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$354 +25% | 7 |
| 262d | devoteeOfBeshaba | January 27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,748 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 263d | FlyingPlaty | January 27 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,259 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 263d | aradchenko1 | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $1,610 | −$1,610 −100% | 9 |
| 265d | devoteeOfBeshaba | January 26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,219 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | devoteeOfBeshaba2 fills | January 25 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,147 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d |  TheAugur | January 24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | BetterFish | No Bill passed by Jan 31 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$283 +25% | 5 |
| 266d |  PredictionYogi | January 23 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,749 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 267d |  TylerTurden | January 23 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 267d | FlyingPlaty3 fills | January 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,833 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 268d | TheAugur | January 22 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | +$23 +2.1% | 4 |
| 268d | PredictionYogi | January 21 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,239 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which a government funding bill is passed by Congress, defined as the date on which the second chamber (either the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate) passes the bill. This market will resolve to “No Bill passed by Jan 31” if no government funding bill is passed by Congress by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying bill must actually pass both chambers of Congress (the US House and the US Senate). Passage of separate or different bills will not qualify; it must be the same piece of legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No Bill passed by Jan 31 means the market gives it about 100%.