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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dan Clancy - Twitch | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tim Cook - Apple | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sam Altman - OpenAI | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sundar Pichai - Google | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andy Jassy - Amazon | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 291d | ZenobiaAlbert | Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,022 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 291d | ZenobiaAlbert | Dan Clancy - Twitch | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,961 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d |  elmcap2 | Sundar Pichai - Google | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,616 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | Sam Altman - OpenAI | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,196 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap22 fills | Tim Cook - Apple | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,894 | +$27 +0.4% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | Andy Jassy - Amazon | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,530 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,273 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 305d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Tim Cook - Apple | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,068 | +$31 +1.0% | 20 |
| 308d | 0xDba78EAeC18Da2455d4b78De38828C | Sam Altman - OpenAI | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 308d |  Zarshka | Tim Cook - Apple | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,419 | +$22 +1.6% | 20 |
| 310d | akdhojatts5u | Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,475 | +$35 +1.0% | 20 |
| 310d | quour8wuygok | Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,534 | +$36 +1.0% | 20 |
| 310d | csmvmdzv4vvz | Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,336 | +$34 +1.0% | 20 |
| 310d | qxaugd03tkmc | Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,213 | +$37 +0.7% | 20 |
| 310d | iodcvlqhpp95 | Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,164 | +$36 +0.7% | 20 |
| 311d | sdjudkudskj | Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,435 | −$13 −0.9% | — |
| 311d | kshyjdhj | Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,602 | −$24 −0.9% | — |
| 311d | sdjudkudskj | Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,435 | +$13 +0.9% | 20 |
| 311d | kshyjdhj | Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,602 | +$24 +0.9% | 20 |
| 311d | mbvnejyu | Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,383 | +$13 +0.9% | 20 |
| 314d | MirAsifAhr | Tim Cook - Apple | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$22 +2.0% | 20 |
| 318d | skylove | Dan Clancy - Twitch | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$43 +4.0% | 20 |
| 319d | ChallengerSpecialist | Tim Cook - Apple | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | −$50 −3.9% | — |
| 334d | skylove | Tim Cook - Apple | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,480 | +$103 +4.1% | 20 |
| 338d | Abandoned-Cabbage2 fills | Tim Cook - Apple | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,346 | −$165 −7.0% | — |
| 350d | Abandoned-Cabbage | Tim Cook - Apple | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$65 +6.0% | 20 |
| 384d | mitraa3 fills | Sam Altman - OpenAI | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,490 | +$383 +8.5% | 20 |
| 532d | mitraa | Sam Altman - OpenAI | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | −$119 −9.9% | — |
| 561d | QMG-CORE | Sam Altman - OpenAI | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,517 | +$268 +18% | 20 |
| 583d | Thalorien | Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | SellYes16¢ → 0¢ | $12,841 | +$12,841 +100% | — |
| 584d | Veythoris | Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $67,415 | +$12,841 +19% | 20 |
| 635d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Sundar Pichai - Google | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,751 | +$529 +14% | 20 |
| 639d | BlunderBusterr | Sam Altman - OpenAI | SellYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,078 | +$1,078 +100% | — |
| 651d | HeatedSeat | Sundar Pichai - Google | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,570 | −$174 −11% | — |
This is a market group over which CEOs will be out of their position by December 31, 2025.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Brian Armstrong - Coinbase means the market gives it about 0%.