Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Party | 100% | 0 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Conservative Party | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bloc Québécois | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Democratic Party | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Green Party | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| People's Party | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 535d |  leCommissaire | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $2,701 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 535d | LBZone | Liberal Party | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,360 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 535d | gaomuni1 | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,323 | −$36 −0.8% | — |
| 535d | Fisher-Johnson | Bloc Québécois | SellNo>99¢ | $2,105 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 535d | Fisher-Johnson | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $4,374 | −$22 −0.5% | — |
| 536d | Nowhere-Man2 fills | Liberal Party | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,535 | −$183 −5.2% | — |
| 536d | HotDogs | Liberal Party | SellYes>99¢ | $2,759 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 536d |  scottilicious | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,824 | −$40 −1.1% | — |
| 536d |  syncope | Liberal Party | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,412 | +$21 +0.6% | 10 |
| 536d | gaomuni13 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,086 | +$272 +6.7% | 10 |
| 536d | MAGURO2 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,223 | +$392 +5.4% | 10 |
| 536d | affs207915 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $8,934 | +$780 +8.7% | 10 |
| 537d | ImHereForTheRewards | Conservative Party | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | −$46 −3.3% | — |
| 537d | RowdyTellezMVP | Conservative Party | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,503 | +$46 +3.1% | 10 |
| 537d |  Nibiru22 fills | Conservative Party | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,873 | −$78 −2.7% | — |
| 537d | OneAlphaJohnny | Conservative Party | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $1,840 | −$1,840 −100% | 22 |
| 537d |  donkeykongnig | Bloc Québécois | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | −$172 −14% | — |
| 538d | cigarettes8 fills | Conservative Party | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,949 | +$95 +0.7% | 10 |
| 538d | Fisher-Johnson | Bloc Québécois | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$110 +5.5% | 11 |
| 538d | Fisher-Johnson | Liberal Party | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$396 +9.9% | 11 |
| 538d |  Cajetan6 fills | Conservative Party | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,161 | +$84 +0.7% | 10 |
| 538d | RowdyTellezMVP | Liberal Party | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $4,257 | +$693 +16% | 12 |
| 538d | rbczz | Liberal Party | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,836 | +$376 +13% | 12 |
| 539d | nonkenny902 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $5,087 | +$413 +8.1% | 10 |
| 541d | BlackPeopleDontRecycle | Liberal Party | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,706 | +$154 +4.2% | 10 |
| 541d | BlackPeopleDontRecycle | Bloc Québécois | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,335 | +$144 +4.3% | 10 |
| 541d | ImHereForTheRewards | Liberal Party | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | −$54 −5.3% | — |
| 541d | scottilicious3 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $6,602 | +$623 +9.4% | 10 |
| 542d | KamLus | Liberal Party | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,255 | −$245 −7.5% | — |
| 543d |  pup1 | Liberal Party | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,333 | −$149 −6.4% | — |
| 544d | AZwater | Liberal Party | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,030 | +$278 +6.9% | 10 |
| 546d | poligott | Liberal Party | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,441 | +$108 +7.5% | 10 |
| 547d | KamLus | Liberal Party | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,220 | +$280 +8.7% | 10 |
| 549d |  Flipadelphia | Liberal Party | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | +$137 +9.9% | 10 |
| 551d | Hashbrown | Liberal Party | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,195 | +$191 +8.7% | 10 |
| 559d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Liberal Party | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,803 | +$117 +4.2% | 10 |
| 559d | cigarettes2 fills | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,938 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 559d | cigarettes2 fills | Green Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,938 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 559d | cigarettes2 fills | People's Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,938 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 559d | cigarettes | Bloc Québécois | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | +$42 +3.3% | 10 |
| 559d | cigarettes2 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,935 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 559d |  FadingLight | Liberal Party | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,527 | +$133 +5.3% | 10 |
| 559d | wokerjoesleeper3 fills | People's Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,728 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 559d | wokerjoesleeper3 fills | Conservative Party | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,701 | +$33 +0.9% | 10 |
| 559d | wokerjoesleeper | Green Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,019 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 559d | wokerjoesleeper3 fills | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,731 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 559d | wokerjoesleeper3 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,730 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 563d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | Bloc Québécois | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,579 | +$136 +5.3% | 10 |
| 564d | affs20791 | Bloc Québécois | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,350 | +$150 +6.4% | 10 |
| 566d | Alvarion | Green Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $35,375 | +$71 +0.2% | 10 |
| 566d | Aelivara | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $58,651 | +$118 +0.2% | 10 |
| 566d | Cajetan | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,332 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 566d | Cajetan | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,332 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 566d | Cajetan | Green Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,332 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 566d | Cajetan | People's Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,332 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 566d | Cajetan | Bloc Québécois | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | +$107 +8.7% | 10 |
| 568d | donkeykongnig | Liberal Party | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,374 | +$263 +19% | 10 |
The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the most seats in the House of Commons in Quebec as a result of the next Canadian general election. If voting in the next Canadian general election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won in Quebec, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Liberal Party means the market gives it about 100%.