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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oracle | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Microsoft | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Larry Ellison | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Frank McCourt | 0% | 0 pts | +1 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| MrBeast | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Amazon | 0% | +2 pts | 0 pts | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Tim Stokely | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Meta | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sam Altman | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Bobby Kotick | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rumble | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Perplexity AI | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexis Ohanian | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Walmart | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| X (Twitter) | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Steve Mnuchin | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AppLovin | 0% | 0 pts | +1 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 473d |  Slowroasted2 fills | Tim Stokely | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,731 | +$20 +0.4% | 20 |
| 473d | rwo | Tim Stokely | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,011 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 473d |  Apsalar | Tim Stokely | BuyNo100¢ | $4,975 | +$25 +0.5% | 20 |
| 473d |  Flipadelphia | MrBeast | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,295 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 473d | Flipadelphia | Steve Mnuchin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,938 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 473d | Flipadelphia | Rumble | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,062 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 473d | failedgenius2 fills | Tim Stokely | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,759 | +$14 +0.5% | 20 |
| 473d | Slowroasted | Perplexity AI | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,130 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 473d | Slowroasted | Alexis Ohanian | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,515 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 473d | Slowroasted | X (Twitter) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,010 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 473d | Slowroasted | Oracle | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,616 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 473d | GasTime | MrBeast | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,822 | −$312 −17% | — |
| 473d | GasTime | Walmart | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | −$17 −1.7% | — |
| 473d | 0x7d17741e8bF | Tim Stokely | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,397 | +$17 +0.5% | 20 |
| 473d |  johnnyA | Tim Stokely | BuyNo100¢ | $1,493 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 473d | 854A7843 | Amazon | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$21 +1.9% | 20 |
| 473d |  Parz1vaI | Larry Ellison | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | +$18 +1.5% | 20 |
| 473d | Parz1vaI2 fills | Oracle | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,750 | +$48 +1.3% | 20 |
| 473d | trezor6 | Amazon | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$13 +1.3% | 20 |
| 473d |  mombil | Oracle | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,090 | +$45 +1.1% | 20 |
| 473d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Larry Ellison | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,691 | +$49 +1.3% | 20 |
| 474d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Oracle | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,771 | +$29 +1.6% | 20 |
| 474d | balerinacapuchina | Oracle | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,205 | +$95 +2.2% | 20 |
| 474d | 854A7843 | Microsoft | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | −$30 −2.7% | — |
| 474d | 854A78432 fills | Oracle | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,787 | −$67 −2.4% | — |
| 474d | mombil2 fills | Sam Altman | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,948 | +$72 +1.2% | 20 |
| 474d |  Oompa-Loompa3 fills | Sam Altman | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,952 | +$49 +1.2% | 20 |
| 474d | Lalaf | Larry Ellison | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,823 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 474d | mombil | X (Twitter) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | +$21 +1.4% | 20 |
| 475d | Liquidifier | Oracle | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,890 | +$19 +1.0% | 20 |
| 475d | johnnyA | Oracle | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$19 +1.9% | 20 |
| 475d | mombil | Bobby Kotick | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 476d | mombil | Meta | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,532 | +$51 +1.1% | 20 |
| 482d | lattafa | Oracle | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,011 | +$22 +1.1% | 20 |
| 482d | YK321 | Larry Ellison | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | −$22 −1.7% | — |
| 485d | YK3212 fills | Oracle | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,559 | −$201 −5.7% | — |
| 487d |  EternaLEnVy | MrBeast | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | −$50 −2.5% | — |
| 492d | udellwho | Sam Altman | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,614 | −$33 −2.0% | — |
| 495d |  Trashbag | Elon Musk | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,238 | +$38 +0.6% | 20 |
| 496d | JustinCase | Elon Musk | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,773 | −$54 −3.0% | — |
| 497d |  Car | Larry Ellison | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | +$32 +2.9% | 20 |
| 502d | TShy | MrBeast | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | −$18 −1.8% | — |
| 514d | YK3216 fills | Oracle | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $11,393 | +$3,158 +28% | 20 |
| 524d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Amazon | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | +$88 +7.3% | 20 |
| 536d |  sorrybutimnotsorry | Oracle | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,736 | +$199 +11% | 20 |
| 536d | RobXK | MrBeast | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $16,043 | +$1,783 +11% | 20 |
| 536d | Vinivi | MrBeast | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$89 −8.6% | — |
| 537d |  ACEE123 | Elon Musk | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | −$73 −6.9% | — |
| 545d | AmirD2 fills | Meta | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,133 | −$121 −3.9% | — |
| 547d | EternaLEnVy | MrBeast | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$44 +4.2% | 20 |
| 547d | EternaLEnVy | Perplexity AI | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,345 | +$84 +3.6% | 20 |
| 549d |  peasant2 fills | Microsoft | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,291 | −$936 −22% | — |
| 550d | Zorvith | Larry Ellison | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $13,589 | +$13,589 +100% | — |
| 550d | Jaxorian | Larry Ellison | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $38,715 | +$13,602 +35% | 20 |
| 557d | YK321 | Larry Ellison | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$588 +29% | 20 |
| 558d | YK3214 | Larry Ellison | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,087 | +$621 +30% | 20 |
| 558d | Baelric | Larry Ellison | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $20,846 | −$9,365 −45% | — |
| 558d | Baelric | Larry Ellison | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $21,148 | +$9,063 +43% | 20 |
| 558d | YK32142 fills | Oracle | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $3,360 | +$1,413 +42% | 20 |
| 559d | Fisher-Johnson | Amazon | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $6,387 | −$619 −9.7% | — |
This is a market on which company will ultimately acquire TikTok.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Oracle means the market gives it about 0%.