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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ursula von der Leyen | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| King Charles III | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Rutte | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mette Frederiksen | 100% | +84 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Friedrich Merz | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Andy Burnham | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Frank-Walter Steinmeier | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Prince William | 100% | +1 pts | — | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Queen Camilla | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| King Carl XVI Gustaf | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alar Karis | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Donald Trump | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| JD Vance | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jonas Gahr Støre | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Emmanuel Macron | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crown Prince Fumihito | 100% | +5 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Erling Haaland | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| King Willem-Alexander | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barack Obama | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · 93¢ | — | ended |
| Volodymyr Zelensky | 100% | +48 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Halla Tómasdóttir | 100% | 0 pts | — | 25¢ · 100¢ (75¢) | — | ended |
| King Philippe | 100% | +4 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| King Frederik X | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Edgars Rinkēvičs | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| King Felipe VI | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alexander Stubb | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Prince Albert II | 100% | +49 pts | — | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Gitanas Nausėda | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Princess Beatrix | 100% | +37 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Dr.PNL236 sharesThe state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends King Harald V's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Ursula von der Leyen means the market gives it about 0%.