Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 100% | +50 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 100% | +8 pts | +74 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chuck Schumer | 100% | +16 pts | +68 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alan Dershowitz | 100% | +13 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Justin Trudeau | 100% | +3 pts | +74 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tom Hanks | 100% | +10 pts | +83 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barack Obama | 100% | +4 pts | +28 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Al Gore | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 100% | +48 pts | +23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Stephen Hawking | 100% | +6 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jamie Dimon | 100% | +4 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bill Gates | 100% | +41 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Piers Morgan | 100% | +4 pts | +84 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Larry Page | 100% | +44 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kirsten Gillibrand | 100% | +8 pts | +77 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sean Combs | 100% | +3 pts | +86 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jimmy Kimmel | 100% | +13 pts | +84 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rachel Maddow | 100% | +2 pts | +83 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Woody Allen | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bernie Sanders | 100% | +71 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jay-Z | 100% | +10 pts | +53 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| David Koch | 100% | +26 pts | +67 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Susie Wiles | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| David Copperfield | 100% | +3 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Anderson Cooper | 100% | +6 pts | +64 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Stephen Colbert | 100% | +5 pts | +72 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tony Blair | 100% | +10 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alec Baldwin | 100% | +4 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Quentin Tarantino | 100% | +86 pts | +80 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Joe Biden | 100% | +62 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ehud Barak | 100% | +21 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hillary Clinton | 100% | +43 pts | +39 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oprah Winfrey | 100% | +3 pts | +84 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Henry Kissinger | 100% | +4 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ellen Degeneres | 100% | +24 pts | +86 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Reid Hoffman | 100% | +3 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bill Clinton | 100% | +27 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Michael Jackson | 100% | +51 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Robert Downey Jr. | 100% | +85 pts | +85 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Noam Chomsky | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Leonardo DiCaprio | 100% | +59 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kevin Spacey | 100% | +5 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Prince Andrew | 100% | +23 pts | +24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rupert Murdoch | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Howard Lutnick | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 258d | Kirsten Gillibrand | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,587 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 258d | Alec Baldwin | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,490 | +$16 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 258d | Woody Allen | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,971 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 258d | Tom Hanks | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,125 | +$29 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 258d | Jamie Dimon | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,565 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 258d | Jamie Dimon | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,333 | +$18 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 258d | Kirsten Gillibrand | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 258d | Chuck Schumer | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,960 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 258d | Anderson Cooper | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,527 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 258d | Susie Wiles | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,303 | +$16 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 258d | Jamie Dimon | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | −$11 −1.0% | — | |
| 258d | Anderson Cooper | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,039 | +$192 +6.3% | 20 | |
| 258d | Chuck Schumer | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,482 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 258d | Jimmy Kimmel | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,323 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 258d | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,796 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 258d | Vital-Mathematics3 fills | Chuck Schumer | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,385 | +$19 +0.4% | 20 |
| 258d | Vital-Mathematics2 fills | Anderson Cooper | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,710 | +$12 +0.5% | 20 |
| 258d | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,273 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 258d | Jimmy Kimmel | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,382 | +$17 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 258d | Tony Blair | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,432 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 258d | Vital-Mathematics | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes100¢ | $1,851 | +$9 +0.5% | 20 |
| 258d | Vital-Mathematics | Kirsten Gillibrand | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,698 | +$10 +0.6% | 20 |
| 258d | Henry Kissinger | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,518 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 258d | Jamie Dimon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | +$9 +0.7% | 20 | |
| 258d | Alan Dershowitz | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,754 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 258d | Justin Trudeau | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,379 | +$29 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 258d | Alan Dershowitz | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,940 | +$26 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 258d | David Copperfield | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,852 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 258d | Kevin Spacey | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,468 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 258d | Stephen Hawking | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,473 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 258d | Stephen Hawking | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,661 | +$19 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 258d | Piers Morgan | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,689 | +$27 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 258d | Noam Chomsky | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,708 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 258d | Noam Chomsky | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,510 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 258d | Piers Morgan | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,249 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 258d | Rachel Maddow | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,935 | +$31 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 258d | Sean Combs | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,267 | +$21 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 258d | Oprah Winfrey | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,756 | +$24 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 258d | Barack Obama | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,000 | +$17 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 258d | Reid Hoffman | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,452 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 259d | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,432 | +$27 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 259d | Al Gore | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,924 | +$35 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 259d | Ehud Barak | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,391 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 259d | Jay-Z | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,767 | +$16 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 259d | David Koch | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,475 | +$16 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 259d | Ellen Degeneres | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,531 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 259d | David Koch | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | +$10 +0.7% | 20 | |
| 259d | Larry Page | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,595 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 259d | Larry Page | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,058 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 259d | Rupert Murdoch | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,424 | +$23 +0.7% | 20 | |
| 259d | Larry Page | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,805 | +$23 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 259d | Hillary Clinton | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,610 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 259d | Prince Andrew | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,707 | +$18 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 259d | Joe Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,619 | +$42 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 259d | Michael Jackson | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,178 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 259d | Michael Jackson | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$24 +1.5% | 20 | |
| 259d | Bill Clinton | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,273 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 259d | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,200 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 259d | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,438 | +$40 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 259d | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,011 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases previously unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of the listed individual between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only previously unreleased files, as of market creation, which contain novel material not previously available to the public will qualify. Documents that are merely re-released, have had redactions removed, repackaged, or newly publicized versions of already available information do not qualify. Any mention of the listed individual in connection with Jeffrey Epstein will qualify, regardless of if connected to nefarious or illegal activities. Previously unreleased files is inclusive of any written, audio, photo or video documentation (e.g., qualifying photos which depict the listed individual will count). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Donald Trump means the market gives it about 100%.