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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 634d | MakerOne | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,143 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 634d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA3 fills | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,738 | +$158 +0.9% | 4 |
| 634d | Valjean | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,994 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 635d | OriginalGeezer | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,857 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 635d |  KimJonEn | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,071 | −$37 −0.9% | — |
| 635d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | MakerOne | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,898 | +$212 +1.1% | 4 |
| 637d | urbanjungleape | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,219 | +$53 +1.2% | 4 |
| 640d |  Mester | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,250 | −$41 −1.2% | — |
| 641d | Valjean | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,974 | +$26 +1.3% | 4 |
| 642d | Trump2028 | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,918 | +$127 +1.4% | 4 |
| 643d | NotQuetions | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | −$32 −1.9% | — |
| 644d | estebanqs | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | −$21 −1.7% | — |
| 647d | Primary-Wasp | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,668 | +$88 +5.3% | 4 |
| 649d | TumTumTree | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyYes8¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 650d | Cryptosputnik | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$185 +7.4% | 4 |
| 651d | Mester | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$226 +7.5% | 4 |
| 652d |  Old-Loompa | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,260 | +$170 +7.5% | 4 |
| 653d | BlindGibbon | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$283 +7.1% | 4 |
| 653d | 0x2370…0e10 | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,587 | −$157 −9.9% | — |
| 653d | F-00 | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,520 | −$479 −14% | — |
| 654d | leshax | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,739 | +$237 +14% | 4 |
| 654d | nonkenny90 | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,737 | +$263 +15% | 4 |
| 662d |  ThemanofLadyLuck2 fills | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $2,182 | −$2,182 −100% | 6 |
| 664d | F-00 | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,760 | +$1,240 +45% | 4 |
| 666d | Winch | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | SellNo30¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | −$2,831 −232% | — |
| 668d |  XAE12Archangel2 fills | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | SellYes60¢ → 0¢ | $2,958 | +$2,958 +100% | — |
| 669d |  throwawaylien | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $1,241 | −$1,241 −100% | 4 |
| 669d | Winch | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,061 +35% | 4 |
| 670d |  thx4urdonation | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | −$413 −37% | — |
| 672d | SpazMoneys | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | −$372 −25% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, reaches or exceeds $500 billion at any point by January 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.