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Polymarket wallet 0x63c41d7befcfb7f79a7a523c4d3acebe6b40350e · on Polymarket since Jan 10, 2024 · also shown as Watery-Ordinary
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $BTC price between $40,000-42,500 1 hour after ETF approval?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 731 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| SEC to NOT approve spot Bitcoin ETF by Jan 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| SEC approves first spot Bitcoin ETF on Jan 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 345 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$99 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 327d | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SellNo51¢ | $343 |
| 327d | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BuyNo52¢ | $301 |
| 327d | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BuyNo52¢ | $49 |
| 330d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SellYes15¢ | $12 |
| 330d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SellYes15¢ | $18 |
| 330d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SellYes15¢ | $20 |
| 331d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes11¢ | $50 |
| 651d | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyYes10¢ | $50 |
| 657d | Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration? | BuyYes32¢ | $70 |
| 1011d | SEC to NOT approve spot Bitcoin ETF by Jan 10? | BuyYes23¢ | $11 |
| 1011d | SEC approves first spot Bitcoin ETF on Jan 10? | BuyNo27¢ | $27 |
| 1011d | $BTC price between $40,000-42,500 1 hour after ETF approval? | BuyYes6¢ | $12 |
| 1011d | SEC approves first spot Bitcoin ETF on Jan 10? | BuyNo30¢ | $52 |
| 1011d | SEC approves first spot Bitcoin ETF on Jan 10? | BuyNo28¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.