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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 16 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 17 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 18 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 19 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 20 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 21 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 22 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 23 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208d | March 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,012 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 208d | March 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,618 | +$17 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 209d | March 22 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,465 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 209d | March 22 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | +$49 +4.1% | 21 | |
| 210d | March 21 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,527 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 211d | March 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,891 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 211d | Trustinghorse | March 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,347 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 211d | March 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,868 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 211d | 0xzipper | March 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 212d | March 19 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,502 | +$23 +1.6% | 20 | |
| 213d | March 18 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,064 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 213d | March 18 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,377 | +$269 +5.0% | 20 | |
| 214d | March 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 214d | March 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,569 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 215d | March 16 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,359 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 215d | March 16 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,299 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 215d | TheBibiYahu | March 16 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 |
| 215d | March 16 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,976 | +$307 +10% | 21 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if an official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Khamenei's official X profiles: https://x.com/khamenei_ir, https://x.com/KhameneiBangla, https://x.com/az_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_fa, https://x.com/ar_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_Heb. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for March 16 means the market gives it about 100%.