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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| August 31 | 100% | — | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| September 15 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49d |  aenews2 | December 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$40 +3.1% | 4 |
| 49d | M888 | December 31 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,503 | +$113 +7.5% | 4 |
| 49d |  kl1v | December 31 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,595 | +$272 +10% | 4 |
| 49d |  AgricultureSecretary | December 31 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,361 | −$168 −12% | — |
| 49d |  CryptoHold4Ever | December 31 | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,336 | −$319 −14% | — |
| 49d | AgricultureSecretary | December 31 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | +$306 +25% | 4 |
DrS860 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Milo Yiannopoulos is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Yiannopoulos from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 100%.