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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 30 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 26 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| March 28 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 29 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 27 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 17, 2026 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 18, 2026 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 19, 2026 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 20, 2026 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 21 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 22 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 23 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 24 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 25 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201d | March 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,504 | +$147 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 211d | NoTearsInTheCasino | March 20, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,390 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 211d | March 20, 2026 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,497 | +$106 +4.2% | 21 | |
| 212d | March 19, 2026 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,026 | +$63 +2.1% | 20 | |
| 212d | ronaldk | March 19, 2026 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,251 | +$537 +17% | 22 |
| 213d | March 18, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,250 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 213d | March 18, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,775 | +$58 +1.2% | 20 | |
| 213d | March 18, 2026 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,242 | +$290 +2.4% | 20 | |
| 213d | March 17, 2026 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for March 30 means the market gives it about 100%.