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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 9% | −3 pts | −1 pts | 7¢ · 11¢ (4¢) | $50 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88d | BlindAndDeaf | December 31 | BuyNo86¢ → 91¢ | $2,000 | +$111 +5.6% | 29 |
| 108d | Teeming-Technician2 fills | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,166 | +$27 +0.1% | 20 |
| 109d |  Writeoff4 fills | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $35,623 | +$504 +1.4% | 20 |
| 110d | thoodr4 fills | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $23,805 | +$187 +0.8% | 20 |
| 128d | Tbhidk-17672 fills | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,115 | −$185 −6.0% | — |
| 130d | Apprehensive-Bloomer2 fills | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,790 | +$330 +6.9% | 20 |
| 137d | Darling-Demand | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 20 |
| 138d | 0xd269…6b9a | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$537 +5.4% | 20 |
| 160d | Tbhidk-1767 | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$1,000 +11% | 20 |
| 161d | Sticky-Closing | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$117 −11% | — |
| 168d | Nippy-Mobility | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,255 | −$412 −18% | — |
| 173d | Impure-Contagion | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$210 +16% | 20 |
| 174d | cashy | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$158 +15% | 20 |
| 176d | TelAvivQuant4 fills | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $15,680 | +$3,831 +24% | 20 |
| 177d | M2sx92kljs422 fills | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,959 | +$928 +23% | 20 |
| 184d | Mithrandiric4 fills | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $20,617 | +$2,054 +10.0% | 20 |
| 184d | Mithrandiric2 fills | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $5,299 | −$2,275 −43% | — |
| 188d | Tall-Suspension | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,096 | +$1,032 +33% | 20 |
| 188d | Itchy-Walk | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $11,998 | +$3,999 +33% | 20 |
| 190d |  ydxistheking2 fills | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $7,266 | +$2,312 +32% | 20 |
| 190d | 0x0729A91138dbA9addc310D39F57aAd555371C50 | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,382 | +$464 +34% | 20 |
| 191d | Quarrelsome-Colleague | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$468 +23% | 20 |
| 192d | Watchful-Plunger2 fills | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $6,000 | −$6,000 −100% | 30 |
HolyMoses76 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 9¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 9%.