Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +8 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 437d | pantomime | Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $36,303 | +$36 +0.1% | 20 |
| 437d | Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,493 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 437d | LBZone2 fills | Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $70,365 | +$70 +0.1% | 20 |
| 437d | Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 437d | Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 437d | Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $69,930 | +$70 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 437d | Snoorrason2 fills | Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,363 | +$18 +0.1% | 20 |
| 438d | ToyodaMan | Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,219 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 438d | Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,538 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 438d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29 | Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,203 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 438d | Generator | Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | +$15 +1.2% | 20 |
| 450d | RIC252 fills | Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,265 | +$242 +7.4% | 20 |
| 461d | Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | −$80 −6.4% | — | |
| 465d | BowlOfPunch | Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$61 +5.6% | 20 |
| 493d | Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$172 +17% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly releases the weights of a reasoning model (e.g., o1, o3) or a large language model (LLM) that is as advanced as GPT-3 by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Multimodal models (e.g., DALL·E, vision-language models), speech or audio-based models (e.g., Whisper), specialized AI agents or reinforcement learning models (e.g., robotics, AlphaCode-like systems) or models that otherwise do not meet the listed criteria will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.