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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415d | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,096 | −$4 −0.4% | — | |
| 425d | aff3 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $8,689 | +$559 +6.4% | 4 |
| 427d | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,789 | +$489 +8.5% | 4 | |
| 429d | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,415 | +$721 +30% | 4 | |
| 430d | vovatoxic | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$344 +34% | 4 |
| 431d | MikeMoore | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,337 +33% | 4 |
| 431d | Lelush | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31? | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,096 | +$1,075 +51% | 4 |
| 431d | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31? | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | −$1,410 −50% | — | |
| 431d | amused852 fills | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,232 | +$754 +23% | 4 |
| 431d | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | +$551 +35% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Pokrovsk by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Pokrovsk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If the territory of municipality is shade light grey, and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Rih" with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Once Russia captures the Pokrovsk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Pokrovsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovosk+Location.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ixAs4fF8n8ccVeL17 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.