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Polymarket wallet 0x039e7d210489fd90d28c8e578f169ea20a3dc5e0 · on Polymarket since Feb 29, 2024 · also shown as Gruesome-Mechanism
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?Ends in 379d | No | 1,174 | 36¢ → 38¢ | $440 | +$16 +3.8% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 769 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$92 −100% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,021 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 930 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$99 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.