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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 654d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $162,448 | +$163 +0.1% | 20 |
| 654d |  JJo2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $19,017 | +$823 +4.3% | 20 |
| 654d | Nowhere-Man9 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $69,565 | +$1,115 +1.6% | 20 |
| 655d |  agsgsggsfudhhwueh2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,251 | +$219 +1.5% | 20 |
| 656d | Saam47 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,411 | −$31 −1.3% | — |
| 656d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,346 | +$54 +1.0% | 20 |
| 657d | Moj | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$35 +1.0% | 20 |
| 659d | annarm | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,364 | −$32 −1.3% | — |
| 659d | System64 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,795 | +$69 +1.0% | 20 |
| 661d |  Erasmus.9 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $106,350 | +$13,468 +13% | 20 |
| 664d |  debased | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,847 | −$70 −2.5% | — |
| 665d | Folletin | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,958 | −$42 −2.1% | — |
| 666d |  scottilicious9 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $37,038 | +$2,623 +7.1% | 20 |
| 667d | Stretter44 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | −$28 −2.8% | — |
| 668d | agsgsggsfudhhwueh | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,355 | −$103 −3.1% | — |
| 668d | denizz2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,930 | −$257 −4.3% | — |
| 668d | polywog | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,374 | +$247 +2.4% | 20 |
| 669d | Mou-454 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,419 | −$60 −4.2% | — |
| 673d |  archaic3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,895 | −$344 −5.0% | — |
| 674d | Stretter44 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,999 | +$302 +5.0% | 20 |
| 674d |  NERA6 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $24,162 | +$3,930 +16% | 20 |
| 675d | Parcelino | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyYes8¢ → 0¢ | $1,168 | −$1,168 −100% | 21 |
| 676d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,511 | −$189 −7.5% | — |
| 680d | Postric | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,472 | +$77 +5.3% | 20 |
| 686d | denizz2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,802 | +$505 +11% | 20 |
| 690d | 0x2370…0e102 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $5,075 | −$640 −13% | — |
| 693d |  LucyCross4 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $5,990 | +$1,010 +17% | 20 |
| 693d | Mreth | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,773 | −$227 −13% | — |
| 695d | 0xfe91…70ff2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $8,774 | +$1,064 +12% | 20 |
| 696d | F-00 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | −$250 −16% | — |
| 697d |  carp | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,421 | −$791 −18% | — |
| 698d | Justnl2 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$259 +13% | 20 |
| 698d | Jason.Xu | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,623 | +$1,623 +100% | — |
| 698d | djdjdj | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,511 | +$409 +16% | 20 |
| 698d | Hamomom95 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,587 | −$641 −25% | — |
| 698d | Hamomom95 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,727 | +$501 +18% | 20 |
| 698d |  XiJinPing-478 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,286 | +$722 +32% | 20 |
| 698d | debased3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $7,873 | +$2,349 +30% | 20 |
| 698d | cashy | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$360 +32% | 20 |
| 698d | BrightPuppers | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$399 +32% | 20 |
| 699d | amused853 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $9,015 | −$3,373 −37% | — |
| 699d | Jason.Xu2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $4,053 | −$4,053 −100% | 22 |
| 699d | F-00 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$435 +22% | 20 |
| 699d |  VCVIC | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 699d | Kronos92 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $2,482 | −$2,482 −100% | 24 |
| 699d | 0xffffffff | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,110 | −$1,110 −100% | 21 |
| 699d | yuv1410 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,123 | +$571 +18% | 20 |
| 700d | detectivepango | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | −$148 −11% | — |
| 701d |  Trashbag | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,307 | +$129 +9.9% | 20 |
| 702d |  just.some.guy5 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $26,402 | −$4,158 −16% | — |
| 704d | Mreth2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$539 +15% | 20 |
| 707d | NERA2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $12,213 | −$2,113 −17% | — |
| 709d | just.some.guy4 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $27,182 | +$4,318 +16% | 20 |
| 709d | archaic | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,357 | +$298 +22% | 20 |
| 710d | Saam47 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$442 +22% | 20 |
| 711d |  ohwell | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | −$247 −23% | — |
| 711d | Folletin2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,422 | +$778 +23% | 20 |
| 714d |  TelegramTeleblog | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,469 | +$322 +22% | 20 |
| 714d | amused85 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,558 | +$365 +23% | 20 |
| 718d | 0x7199ac8636ffcba1af3d21c10eb8a23c5b4930aa | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024? | SellYes19¢ → 0¢ | $1,416 | +$1,416 +100% | — |
PlantMom33 shares
VitoCorleone6 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ali Khamenei ceases to be Supreme Leader of Iran of for any length of time between September 30, 2024, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Khamenei ceases to be Supreme Leader of Iran for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Khamenei has remained Supreme Leader for the entire duration without interruption. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information released by the government of Iran, however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.