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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230d | TopFanLi | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 230d |  AllByMyseIf2 fills | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,450 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 |
| 230d | i5mogger | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,407 | −$593 −17% | — |
| 230d |  scottilicious | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,022 | −$35 −1.7% | — |
| 230d |  pemul1s2 fills | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,148 | +$14 +0.2% | 20 |
| 231d | 0xc4ca…3df3 | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,079 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 234d |  bosshog8 fills | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $37,477 | +$2,474 +6.6% | 20 |
| 237d |  CoffeeLover | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$14 +1.3% | 20 |
| 251d |  bamesjond4 fills | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $17,993 | −$402 −2.2% | — |
| 253d | MaxPowell10 fills | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $20,830 | +$1,127 +5.4% | 20 |
| 253d | thebetter12345 fills | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $13,027 | +$424 +3.3% | 20 |
| 254d | kanshifu2 fills | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,780 | +$67 +2.4% | 20 |
| 256d | skibabiba | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,409 | +$32 +2.2% | 20 |
| 261d | Secondary-Coevolution2 fills | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,616 | +$72 +0.9% | 20 |
| 267d | bosshog3 fills | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,079 | −$75 −1.8% | — |
| 269d | Kiskadee | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | +$18 +1.4% | 20 |
| 271d | Lolololol | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,987 | +$115 +2.3% | 20 |
| 280d |  BlackSky123 | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | +$9 +0.8% | 20 |
| 280d |  JaidenAnimations2 fills | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,079 | +$51 +1.2% | 20 |
| 280d | bamesjond4 fills | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,788 | +$242 +2.8% | 20 |
| 290d | TheMayor | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,604 | −$59 −2.3% | — |
| 295d |  MONARCA-DE-LOS-MARES | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,944 | −$56 −2.9% | — |
| 305d | TheMayor | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | +$27 +2.6% | 20 |
| 305d | scottilicious | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,569 | +$104 +2.9% | 20 |
| 336d |  Frosen2 fills | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,500 | −$272 −3.2% | — |
| 346d | Frosen8 fills | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $27,127 | +$1,988 +7.3% | 20 |
| 352d | asdalkjfa | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | −$65 −5.8% | — |
| 354d | MaxPowell | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | −$76 −4.4% | — |
| 375d | kanshifu | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,857 | −$143 −7.7% | — |
| 375d | theunknownG | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $9,681 | −$9,681 −100% | 37 |
| 378d | Witty-Cloister | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | −$35 −3.3% | — |
| 378d |  TheWolfOfPoly7 fills | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $21,021 | +$1,895 +9.0% | 20 |
| 383d |  satoshiAncap | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | SellYes3¢ → 0¢ | $2,184 | +$2,184 +100% | — |
| 386d | Liquidifier | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$180 +9.9% | 20 |
| 386d | satoshiAncap | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $1,168 | −$1,168 −100% | 21 |
| 386d |  ImJustKen | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $61,544 | +$6,161 +10% | 20 |
| 394d |  Erasmus. | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,240 | +$176 +5.4% | 20 |
| 427d |  RelaySucks | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,316 | +$228 +17% | 20 |
| 546d | Altherion-812 | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | SellYes20¢ → 0¢ | $9,487 | +$9,487 +100% | — |
| 546d | Baelvian | Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $37,472 | +$9,961 +27% | 20 |
The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the value of costumes duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) is greater than $250b. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.