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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 427d |  betwick2 fills | Will the Texas House pass HB 4 by August 19? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,664 | +$160 +4.4% | 10 |
Kickstand76,261 shares
Damazo544 sharesGovernor Greg Abbott convened a special legislative session on July 21, 2025, limited to 30 calendar days and scheduled to end on August 19, 2025. House Bill 4, introduced during this session, proposes a new congressional district map for Texas’s 38 U.S. House seats. Critics argue the proposal constitutes partisan gerrymandering. This market will resolve to "Yes" if HB 4 passes the Texas House before the special session ends on August 19, 2025, 23:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Regardless of whether this session is extended, this market will resolve based on events occurring on or before August 19. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.