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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 6 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 285d | Sayl7Seas | January 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,676 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 285d |  peggysage | January 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $74,593 | +$75 +0.1% | 4 |
| 285d | yougotme4 fills | January 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $57,168 | +$111 +0.2% | 4 |
| 285d | yougotme2 fills | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,166 | +$25 +0.1% | 4 |
| 285d |  dooby2 fills | January 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $62,341 | +$175 +0.3% | 4 |
| 285d | dube | January 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,661 | +$46 +0.3% | 4 |
| 285d | HotDogs3 fills | January 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,970 | +$30 +0.3% | 4 |
| 285d |  PaddyAlpha2 fills | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,396 | +$16 +0.3% | 4 |
| 285d | PaddyAlpha | January 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,564 | +$10 +0.4% | 4 |
| 285d |  ImJustKen | January 6 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $23,452 | +$479 +2.0% | 5 |
| 285d |  StarMaster | January 6 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$41 +2.0% | 5 |
| 285d |  Newsance | January 6 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,058 | +$371 +5.3% | 5 |
| 285d |  Casdifer2 fills | January 6 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $27,761 | +$2,338 +8.4% | 6 |
| 285d |  TylerTurden3 fills | January 6 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $9,074 | +$802 +8.8% | 6 |
| 285d | FreezerKil | January 6 | BuyNo10¢ → 0¢ | $1,053 | −$1,053 −100% | 12 |
| 285d | Sayl7Seas | January 6 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,438 | +$241 +9.9% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 gubernatorial campaign, by January 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tim Walz or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for January 6 means the market gives it about 100%.