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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503d |  noreasapa | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,428 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 505d | forinnerpsandr1x11222 | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,237 | +$73 +1.0% | 4 |
| 506d |  Plant2tri | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,059 | +$21 +1.0% | 4 |
| 506d | denizz | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,670 | −$24 −1.4% | — |
| 506d |  Galamaddison | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 506d | PedroGonzales | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,374 | +$34 +1.0% | 4 |
| 506d | CanadianGoose | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 4 |
| 506d |  StingerFour2 fills | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,557 | +$57 +1.0% | 4 |
| 507d |  Sergsky | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$23 +2.1% | 4 |
| 507d |  Connext | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,579 | +$34 +2.1% | 4 |
| 509d |  GoldFinch | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,844 | +$41 +2.2% | 4 |
| 509d |  Zykoer | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,249 | +$51 +2.2% | 4 |
| 509d |  BB2020 | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,299 | +$52 +2.2% | 4 |
| 509d |  Inagurated | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,396 | +$76 +2.2% | 4 |
| 509d |  MisTKy3 | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,169 | −$31 −2.6% | — |
| 512d | RoadTo50k | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,670 | −$44 −2.6% | — |
| 512d |  elmcap22 fills | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $16,082 | +$340 +2.1% | 4 |
| 515d | AndrianoLamo | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,011 | −$101 −5.0% | — |
| 515d |  HNIC | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,626 | +$86 +3.3% | 4 |
| 515d |  QuantumComputerInc | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | −$105 −7.6% | — |
| 515d | MisTKy36 fills | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $19,013 | +$1,749 +9.2% | 4 |
| 515d | Ineedhole | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $8,681 | +$387 +4.5% | 4 |
| 518d | AndrianoLamo | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$112 +5.6% | 4 |
| 518d | nonkenny90 | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,704 | +$146 +5.4% | 4 |
| 525d |  Serega-pro | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,335 | +$290 +8.7% | 4 |
| 529d | amused852 fills | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,075 | +$877 +22% | 4 |
| 530d |  just.some.guy | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,199 | +$801 +25% | 4 |
| 532d | QuantumComputerInc | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$480 +48% | 4 |
| 533d | denizz | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,881 | +$1,017 +54% | 4 |
| 533d |  ScamWick4 fills | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $8,867 | −$8,867 −100% | 4 |
| 533d | oof | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,832 | −$1,832 −100% | 4 |
| 533d |  KimJonEn | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,083 | +$343 +16% | 4 |
| 535d | YKKY | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$293 +26% | 4 |
| 536d | amused85 | Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | −$280 −28% | — |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announce that they have ended their participation as an active principal, facilitator, or mediator in the Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official announcements will qualify. Informal or contingent statements, statements of intent without a formal directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
