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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151d | Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | SellNo98¢ → 99¢ | $4,000 | −$24 −0.6% | — | |
| 152d | Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $4,000 | +$24 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 235d | XHCIWICW2223S | Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | SellNo97¢ → 99¢ | $2,352 | −$42 −1.8% | — |
| 249d | XHCIWICW2223S | Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $2,369 | +$26 +1.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 1%.