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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 149 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $148 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 121 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $114 | +$3 +2.7% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 102 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $95 | +$12 +15% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 76 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $74 | −$0 −0.1% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 21 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 19 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $18 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 26 | 38¢ → 38¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.1% |
| China coup attempt before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $6 | −$0 −0.4% |
| T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 111 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $6 | −$4 −44% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 83 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$2 −34% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BuyYes38¢ | $10 |
| 2d | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $5 |
| 71d | T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $10 |
| 89d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BuyNo81¢ | $83 |
| 89d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BuyNo91¢ | $111 |
| 89d | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BuyNo97¢ | $74 |
| 94d | Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | BuyNo98¢ | $147 |
| 94d | China coup attempt before 2027? | BuyNo97¢ | $7 |
| 94d | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BuyNo94¢ | $20 |
| 94d | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BuyNo91¢ | $27 |
| 94d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $18 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.