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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hakainde Hichilema | 100% | +1 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Brian Mundubile | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fred M'membe | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60d | Incomplete-Reorganisation | Hakainde Hichilema | SellYes>99¢ | $1,128 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 60d | Martin254 | Hakainde Hichilema | SellYes100¢ | $1,677 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 60d | Hakainde Hichilema | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,527 | +$10 +0.3% | 10 | |
| 62d | Hakainde Hichilema | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$25 +2.1% | 10 | |
| 64d | Quick-Witted-Appetiser | Hakainde Hichilema | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,091 | +$137 +6.6% | 12 |
| 64d | DmJug | Hakainde Hichilema | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$115 +5.8% | 11 |
| 69d | Hakainde Hichilema | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,212 | +$246 +11% | 11 | |
| 85d | Mathgamble | Hakainde Hichilema | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,310 | −$162 −12% | — |
| 87d | Martin254 | Hakainde Hichilema | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,530 | +$152 +10.0% | 10 |
| 88d | momo513 | Brian Mundubile | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,730 | +$270 +9.9% | 10 |
| 88d | Hakainde Hichilema | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,169 | +$159 +14% | 10 | |
| 88d | Incomplete-Reorganisation | Hakainde Hichilema | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$212 +16% | 10 |
| 114d | taesookim | Hakainde Hichilema | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$271 +25% | 10 |
| 116d | Brian Mundubile | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,460 | −$1,460 −100% | 12 | |
| 124d | Hakainde Hichilema | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | +$367 +25% | 10 |
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Hakainde Hichilema means the market gives it about 100%.