| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 28 | 71¢ → 88¢ | $25 | +$5 +23% |
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 59¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$5 +45% |
| GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | Yes | 20 | 76¢ → 83¢ | $17 | +$1 +8.6% |
| Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Ends in 7d | No | 40 | 43¢ → 14¢ | $6 | −$11 −66% |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 16 | 41¢ → 17¢ | $3 | −$4 −60% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 47¢ → 13¢ | $3 | −$7 −73% |
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 40 | 16¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$5 −81% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 73 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 87 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 105 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 150 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 29 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 60 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 45 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 150 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 47 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 29 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 29 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 110 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 23 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 21 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 58 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 115 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$108 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 150 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 99¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 860 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 136 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 150 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 167 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 116 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 150 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 114 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 116 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 45 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 80 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 15 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
