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Polymarket wallet 0x0a854897a06d4999e5b2dde5693609f1428ffe9d · on Polymarket since Jun 18, 2025 · also shown as Murky-Sleepiness
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,056,379 | 23¢ → 16¢ | $163,739 | −$84,424 −34% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 550,988 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52,147 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,954 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$413 −100% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 137,858 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10,637 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200,012 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16,553 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18,158 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$363 −100% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 789,160 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$152K −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.