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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,350 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 194 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$68 −100% |
| US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 214 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$145 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 198 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$97 −100% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 177 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 177 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$97 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 214d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | SellNo45¢ | $112 |
| 214d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | SellNo92¢ | $256 |
| 217d | U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31? | SellYes9¢ | $59 |
| 217d | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyYes19¢ | $34 |
| 217d | U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31? | BuyYes26¢ | $49 |
| 222d | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? | BuyYes35¢ | $68 |
| 222d | Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15? | BuyNo<1¢ | $14 |
| 222d | U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31? | BuyYes21¢ | $97 |
| 222d | Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15? | BuyNo7¢ | $48 |
| 223d | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March? | BuyYes68¢ | $387 |
| 223d | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BuyYes49¢ | $97 |
| 223d | US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31? | BuyYes68¢ | $145 |
| 223d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BuyNo39¢ | $97 |
| 223d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | BuyNo80¢ | $223 |
| 224d | Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes55¢ | $97 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.