Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 15 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 7 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 4 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219d | lordedward2 fills | March 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | March 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,423 | −$7 −0.1% | — | |
| 220d | M2sx92kljs42 | March 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,238 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 220d | Alarmed-Riser | March 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 220d | geowatch | March 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,051 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 220d | 1234123412342 fills | March 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,606 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 220d | March 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 220d | March 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,402 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 220d | March 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,765 | +$45 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 220d | Unwelcome-Opponent4 fills | March 7 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,612 | −$236 −1.0% | — |
| 220d | March 7 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $25,435 | −$582 −2.3% | — | |
| 220d | Thin-Print | March 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,232 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 220d | Unwelcome-Opponent10 fills | March 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $50,620 | +$223 +0.4% | 4 |
| 220d | March 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,457 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 220d | March 7 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,942 | −$58 −0.8% | — | |
| 220d | March 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,292 | −$16 −0.3% | — | |
| 221d | Shocked-Prospect | March 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,243 | −$17 −0.4% | — |
| 221d | March 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,881 | −$6 −0.2% | — | |
| 221d | March 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,099 | −$18 −0.2% | — | |
| 221d | March 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $22,375 | −$45 −0.2% | — | |
| 221d | 0xzipper | March 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 221d | Odysseus7 | March 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,237 | +$21 +0.2% | 4 |
| 221d | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,994 | +$19 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 221d | March 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,170 | +$94 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 221d | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $32,662 | +$221 +0.7% | 4 | |
| 221d | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,998 | +$36 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 221d | VikoVikoViko | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,149 | +$17 +0.8% | 4 |
| 221d | MegaLucario | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,547 | +$21 +0.8% | 4 |
| 221d | BoobyBrain | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$9 +0.8% | 4 |
| 221d | WAIT4 | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,821 | +$23 +0.8% | 4 |
| 221d | Bessent2028 | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$10 +0.9% | 4 |
| 221d | RacistUser | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,588 | +$14 +0.9% | 4 |
| 221d | ParsnipDessert | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,769 | +$16 +0.9% | 4 |
| 221d | Thin-Print3 fills | March 7 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,412 | +$151 +2.8% | 4 |
| 221d | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$13 +1.3% | 4 | |
| 221d | March 7 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,678 | −$95 −1.7% | — | |
| 221d | 12100K | March 7 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,775 | −$25 −1.4% | — |
| 222d | CoconutCrabCurry | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | +$16 +1.1% | 4 |
| 222d | TheStoryOfUs | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,927 | +$21 +1.1% | 4 |
| 222d | NijinYamato | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | +$14 +1.1% | 4 |
| 222d | KatarinaxGaren | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,728 | +$19 +1.1% | 4 |
| 222d | KrishnaPatel | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$14 +1.3% | 4 |
| 222d | alliswell | March 7 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,255 | +$37 +1.6% | 4 |
| 222d | Sportsbetter1 | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,819 | +$23 +0.8% | 4 |
| 222d | Vital-Mathematics | March 7 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 222d | Renan2030 | March 7 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | −$77 −5.1% | — |
| 222d | March 7 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | −$119 −10% | — | |
| 222d | Trustinghorse2 fills | March 7 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,344 | −$342 −3.7% | — |
| 222d | March 7 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,813 | −$72 −4.0% | — | |
| 222d | March 7 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,278 | −$55 −1.3% | — | |
| 222d | March 7 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $24,270 | −$193 −0.8% | — | |
| 222d | March 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,869 | −$4 −0.2% | — | |
| 222d | alliswell3 fills | March 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,662 | +$80 +0.4% | 4 |
| 222d | March 7 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,051 | −$38 −0.8% | — | |
| 222d | Trustinghorse | March 15 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,872 | +$91 +3.2% | 4 |
| 222d | March 15 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,702 | +$71 +4.2% | 4 | |
| 222d | March 15 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $7,415 | +$715 +9.6% | 4 | |
| 222d | HarvSpec824 | March 15 | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | −$354 −30% | — |
| 222d | Dimamam2 fills | March 15 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $3,499 | +$934 +27% | 4 |
| 223d | middlewesterner666 | March 15 | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | −$295 −29% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel's Ben Gurion Airport (TLV) opens to any departures or arrivals between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" arrivals and departures from TLV must be open to scheduling by Israeli citizens or the general public and at least one civilian departure or arrival must have occurred. These conditions must be true at the same time. An announcement that TVA has reopened alone will not qualify. Rescue, repatriation, evacuation, military, humanitarian, or other special-purpose flights that are not bookable by the general public or not considered ordinary civilian flights will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be information from TVA and the Israel Airports Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for March 15 means the market gives it about 100%.