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Polymarket wallet 0x498470dbc6882a3c37fbf351a1fcdbe86fb74e2a · on Polymarket since Nov 18, 2025 · also shown as Bubbly-Crocus
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 586 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,381 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$914 −100% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,595 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$336 −100% |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,250 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$400 −100% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 385 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,190 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.