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Polymarket wallet 0x123ade1aaa31951ee0070fb3e1b73199883fd86d · on Polymarket since May 4, 2026 · also shown as Improbable-Chess
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 45 | 11¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$4 −74% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,667 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 415 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 166d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BuyDown76¢ | $6 |
| 166d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BuyNo53¢ | $5 |
| 166d | Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 166d | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BuyYes35¢ | $15 |
| 166d | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes11¢ | $5 |
| 166d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BuyUp4¢ | $16 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.