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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 463 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $459 | +$3 +0.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 25 | 24¢ → 15¢ | $4 | −$2 −38% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25d | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SellYes18¢ | $66 |
| 26d | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SellNo99¢ | $1,016 |
| 27d | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BuyNo99¢ | $1,467 |
| 33d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SellYes13¢ | $69 |
| 33d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SellYes13¢ | $1 |
| 35d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SellYes15¢ | $74 |
| 99d | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SellYes15¢ | $115 |
| 114d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SellYes21¢ | $126 |
| 121d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BuyYes24¢ | $421 |
| 173d | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BuyYes8¢ | $96 |
| 176d | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SellYes37¢ | $852 |
| 192d | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BuyYes36¢ | $829 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.