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Polymarket wallet 0x27bf0f241609b110d86b46dd9f21bee43be1b01d · on Polymarket since Apr 1, 2026 · also shown as Friendly-Apron
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133d | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ | $5 |
| 133d | Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? | BuyYes51¢ | $5 |
| 133d | Will Alberta join the US? | BuyNo96¢ | $5 |
| 133d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BuyNo97¢ | $5 |
| 133d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BuyNo83¢ | $5 |
| 152d | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BuyYes31¢ | $5 |
| 152d | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | BuyNo95¢ | $5 |
| 152d | Will Russia enter Borova by May 31? | BuyNo85¢ | $6 |
| 152d | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BuyNo98¢ | $6 |
| 152d | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
| 191d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $5 |
| 191d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BuyNo72¢ | $5 |
| 198d | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $5 |
| 198d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyNo91¢ | $15 |
| 198d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BuyNo83¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.