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Polymarket wallet 0x2a32bc74120713d7e4a29c65d53cc9b327810188 · on Polymarket since Nov 6, 2025 · also shown as Loathsome-Lava
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,006 | 74¢ → 87¢ | $1,742 | +$251 +17% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 30¢ → 7¢ | $70 | −$230 −77% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 579 | 55¢ → 7¢ | $41 | −$278 −87% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$721 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,935 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$126 −100% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,091 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6,801 −100% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,825 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,932 −100% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 525 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$178 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,270 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,234 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.