nathanck

Polymarket wallet 0x2a8e355deffe6df3c480e6587063289d7eb8450e · on Polymarket since Oct 20, 2025 · also shown as Married-Testing

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $701
All-time profit: +$74.1
Volume traded: $43.5K
All-time rank: #264,992
Markets traded: 70
Recent hit rate: 98%49 of last 50 closed

Open positions

2 markets · $701

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	745	90¢ → 94¢	$701	+$30 +4.4%
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	153	99¢ → 0¢	$0	−$151 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
25d	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	BuyNo99¢	$151
25d	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	SellNo94¢	$47
25d	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	SellNo94¢	$2
31d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SellNo>99¢	$103
39d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyNo100¢	$103
45d	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	SellNo92¢	$102
76d	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	BuyNo90¢	$821
80d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	SellNo>99¢	$821
97d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	BuyNo100¢	$818
97d	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SellNo>99¢	$817
105d	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyNo99¢	$813
113d	Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?	SellNo>99¢	$190
113d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	SellNo>99¢	$623
123d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BuyNo99¢	$620
126d	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?	SellNo>99¢	$247
126d	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?	SellNo>99¢	$268
127d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	SellNo>99¢	$105
129d	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?	BuyNo99¢	$512
131d	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	SellNo99¢	$206
131d	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	SellNo99¢	$145
131d	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	SellNo99¢	$140
131d	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	SellNo99¢	$19
137d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	BuyNo>99¢	$105
139d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	SellNo99¢	$103
140d	Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?	BuyNo99¢	$187
143d	Trump out as President by May 31?	SellNo>99¢	$190
149d	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	BuyNo99¢	$507
151d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	SellNo>99¢	$504
152d	Trump out as President by May 31?	BuyNo>99¢	$189
153d	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	SellNo99¢	$192
155d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	BuyNo97¢	$101
156d	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	SellNo83¢	$101
165d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	BuyNo98¢	$497
177d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	BuyNo90¢	$115
182d	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 13-19?	SellNo>99¢	$115
183d	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo84¢	$102
183d	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	BuyNo97¢	$188
183d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	SellNo>99¢	$279
183d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	SellNo>99¢	$2
183d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	SellNo>99¢	$3
183d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	SellNo>99¢	$3
183d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	SellNo>99¢	$3
185d	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 13-19?	BuyNo99¢	$114
185d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	SellNo>99¢	$111
186d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	SellNo>99¢	$3
186d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	BuyNo99¢	$366
186d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	SellNo>99¢	$366
193d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	BuyNo99¢	$478
193d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	BuyNo99¢	$287
204d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?	SellNo>99¢	$765
215d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?	BuyNo99¢	$759
217d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 14?	SellYes>99¢	$390
217d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 14?	BuyYes>99¢	$369
217d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 14?	BuyYes>99¢	$389
219d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 13?	SellNo>99¢	$148
219d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 13?	SellNo>99¢	$34
219d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 13?	SellNo>99¢	$26
219d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 13?	SellNo>99¢	$36
219d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 13?	SellNo>99¢	$24
219d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 13?	SellNo>99¢	$138

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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