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Polymarket wallet 0x2ab2878581fa6cdfd16f15451cd9c76fba69b529 · on Polymarket since Apr 1, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 31 | 32¢ → 100¢ | $31 | +$21 +213% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 385 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$1 −27% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 31 | 16¢ → 9¢ | $3 | −$2 −47% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 138 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 63 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 271 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54d | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
| 54d | Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | BuyNo24¢ | $5 |
| 54d | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BuyYes16¢ | $5 |
| 162d | Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? | BuyNo<1¢ | $10 |
| 181d | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | BuyNo32¢ | $10 |
| 194d | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? | BuyYes10¢ | $7 |
| 194d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BuyYes14¢ | $10 |
| 194d | State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? | BuyYes8¢ | $11 |
| 194d | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo47¢ | $30 |
| 195d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BuyYes15¢ | $30 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.