Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31 | 100% | +74 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | −3 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 31 | 100% | +16 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162d | tsekinming01 | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,819 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 162d | Trustinghorse2 fills | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,409 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 |
| 162d |  0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd3 fills | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,200 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 162d | 0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd3 fills | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,336 | +$35 +0.5% | 4 |
| 162d | bearbees2 | May 31 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,055 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 162d | Whole-Rating | May 31 | SellYes100¢ | $15,969 | −$80 −0.5% | — |
| 162d | Scaly-Tracksuit | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,030 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 162d | Scaly-Tracksuit | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,759 | +$56 +0.4% | 4 |
| 162d | Hiworld.3 fills | May 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,485 | +$61 +0.9% | 4 |
| 162d | ZZ-TIC-M1 | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,739 | +$11 +0.3% | 4 |
| 162d |  wbxxx | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,576 | +$10 +0.4% | 4 |
| 162d | Whole-Rating4 fills | May 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,854 | +$196 +1.2% | 4 |
| 162d |  AllByMyseIf | December 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 162d |  AgricultureSecretary | May 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$30 +2.0% | 4 |
| 162d |  Car | May 31 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,313 | +$69 +5.3% | 4 |
| 162d | uhhh | May 31 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$317 +27% | 4 |
| 162d |  36chambers | May 31 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$220 +21% | 4 |
| 169d | GCNO1 | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,456 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 169d |  beenraping6 fills | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,773 | +$37 +0.1% | 4 |
| 170d | Franccoonn1232 fills | April 30 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,615 | −$109 −4.2% | — |
| 171d |  Tenebrus7 | April 30 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$178 +11% | 4 |
| 171d | SleeperHunter | April 30 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,002 | +$598 +15% | 4 |
| 171d | Franccoonn123 | April 30 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$224 +15% | 4 |
| 172d | cripes3 | April 30 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $6,382 | +$954 +15% | 4 |
| 172d |  readingcomprehender | April 30 | SellYes13¢ → 0¢ | $1,298 | +$1,298 +100% | — |
| 174d | mumps | December 31 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$159 +14% | 4 |
| 177d | 123pocky | April 30 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,660 | +$340 +20% | 4 |
| 180d |  predictor555 | April 30 | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,490 | −$510 −20% | — |
| 180d |  Coolguytradingday | April 30 | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | −$208 −20% | — |
| 180d | readingcomprehender | April 30 | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,544 | −$1,544 −100% | 7 |
| 181d | Scoofy-Bubik | April 30 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$335 +33% | 4 |
| 182d | gh8jfgwre3fwsd | December 31 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | +$144 +9.8% | 4 |
| 182d | 83CAAA | April 30 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$512 +34% | 4 |
| 182d |  iForgor | April 30 | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | +$1,217 +92% | 4 |
| 182d | Thanks4TheMoney | December 31 | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | −$450 −42% | — |
| 182d | Thanks4TheMoney | April 30 | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $1,499 | −$1,499 −100% | 4 |
| 182d | Thanks4TheMoney | December 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,501 | +$32 +2.1% | 4 |
| 185d |  Mantronix | December 31 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,714 | +$690 +40% | 4 |
| 189d | KAU7 | December 31 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$401 +35% | 4 |
| 196d | Odysseus7 | December 31 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$818 +72% | 4 |
| 199d | beenraping | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,530 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 199d | ears | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 200d | Odysseus7 | March 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,718 | +$19 +0.5% | 4 |
| 202d | Welcome-Octopus | March 31 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | −$36 −3.4% | — |
| 204d | Niki0902 | March 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$109 +5.5% | 4 |
| 206d | haupc99 | March 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,314 | +$91 +3.9% | 4 |
| 210d | Welcome-Octopus | March 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$73 +7.1% | 5 |
| 227d | Worthless-PlaceNew account | March 31 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,516 | +$302 +20% | 12 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for May 31 means the market gives it about 100%.