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Polymarket wallet 0x2ba8280cdb8f1e0396140ffe4e810e33758bdf0c · on Polymarket since Sep 19, 2024 · also shown as Vague-Bassoon
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 78¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +28% |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +20% |
| GPT-5 released in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 73¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +37% |
| European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Will Biden finish his term?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 87¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 59¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +69% |
| Israel military response against Iran by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| U.S. Recession in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will MSFT be the largest company by mcap on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 20 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.