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Polymarket wallet 0x2de4154111a46e68c6d0a211797554c54e77784d · on Polymarket since Dec 28, 2025 · also shown as Realistic-Incompetence
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 70 | 68¢ → 100¢ | $70 | +$22 +47% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 70 | 70¢ → 79¢ | $55 | +$6 +13% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $36 | +$4 +11% |
| Netanyahu out by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $30 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 200 | 17¢ → 9¢ | $18 | −$16 −47% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,225 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$171 −100% |
| Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 15 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.