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Polymarket wallet 0x2f3b5be9131b2b601815c8f58b6301a1ba8ccd5a · on Polymarket since Feb 19, 2026 · also shown as Worldly-Thing
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 164 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 260 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150d | Israel closes its airspace by May 24? | BuyYes16¢ | $10 |
| 150d | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 150d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BuyYes5¢ | $13 |
| 231d | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $11 |
| 240d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BuyDown93¢ | $10 |
| 240d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $10 |
| 240d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes23¢ | $10 |
| 240d | US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $10 |
| 240d | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.