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Polymarket wallet 0x31caeda25c7ee8569d6933a3a64c2cd0f37c6e94 · on Polymarket since Oct 29, 2024 · also shown as Probable-Mouse

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$5.35K
Volume traded: $270K
All-time rank: #3,171,871
Markets traded: 212
Recent hit rate: 94%47 of last 50 closed

Open positions

63 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	57	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	196	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	930	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	83	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Spread: France (-3.5)Settled - ready to redeem	France	114	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	169	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	34,378	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5,921 −100%
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 5.5Settled - ready to redeem	Under	135	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	213	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	59	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	189	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem	DN SOOPers	31	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	36	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Settled - ready to redeem	Nongshim Red Force	77	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	19,834	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2,041 −100%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	4,621	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$98 −100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,500	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,000 −100%
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreSettled - ready to redeem	Yes	125	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Iraq?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	125	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	286	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Settled - ready to redeem	No	417	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,974	67¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2,000 −100%
Nuggets vs. WarriorsSettled - ready to redeem	Nuggets	43	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	5,435	92¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5,000 −100%
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	143	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	6,146	68¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4,179 −100%
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem	Over	196	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	111	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	3,502	86¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3,000 −100%
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	63	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	5,000	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSISettled - ready to redeem	KT Rolster	136	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	339	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	93	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSISettled - ready to redeem	T1	47	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	318	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Settled - ready to redeem	1. FC Köln	43	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	466	78¢ → 0¢	$0	−$364 −100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	542	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Settled - ready to redeem	Over	48	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	104	24¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	67	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will England win on 2026-06-23?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	241	83¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	430	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	138	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	448	67¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	127	79¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	69	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$40 −100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,075	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$400 −100%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	445	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$310 −100%
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-01?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,709	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$700 −100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,425	77¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	45	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Settled - ready to redeem	Kiwoom DRX	100	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	16,667	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	No	125	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	339	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	56	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	491	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Pistons vs. RocketsSettled - ready to redeem	Rockets	56	72¢ → 0¢	$0	−$40 −100%
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	690	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$210 −100%
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	75	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$40 −100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendSettled - ready to redeem	Anyone's Legend	179	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
102d	Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	BuyArgentina86¢	$2,310
105d	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	BuyNo84¢	$2,298
106d	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BuyYes83¢	$503
106d	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BuyYes86¢	$1,004
107d	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BuyYes84¢	$502
107d	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BuyYes86¢	$1,004
107d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SellYes35¢	$614
107d	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BuyYes84¢	$1,005
108d	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	BuyYes55¢	$101
109d	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	BuyYes77¢	$101
109d	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	BuyYes74¢	$302
109d	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BuyYes85¢	$1,004
109d	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	BuyYes54¢	$101
110d	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	BuyNo93¢	$6,013
113d	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	BuyYes58¢	$117
113d	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	BuyYes84¢	$100
113d	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	BuyNo81¢	$1,005
113d	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	BuyYes85¢	$502
113d	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Buy69¢	$2,000
114d	Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score	SellYes43¢	$170
114d	Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score	SellYes47¢	$21
114d	Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score	BuyYes60¢	$304
114d	Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score	BuyYes57¢	$101
114d	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?	Buy63¢	$506
114d	Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score	BuyYes57¢	$101
114d	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	BuyYes51¢	$101
114d	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	BuyYes90¢	$1,003
115d	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	BuyNo92¢	$4,856
116d	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?	BuyYes16¢	$10
116d	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	BuyYes83¢	$201
116d	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	BuyYes86¢	$201
117d	Spread: France (-2.5)	BuyFrance94¢	$10
117d	Spread: France (-3.5)	BuyFrance44¢	$51
117d	Spread: France (-2.5)	BuyFrance69¢	$101
117d	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	BuyYes45¢	$25
117d	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Iraq?	BuyYes8¢	$10
117d	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?	BuyYes16¢	$10
117d	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria?	BuyYes9¢	$10
117d	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?	BuyYes7¢	$10
117d	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria? AND Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq? AND Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?	Buy1¢	$10
117d	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria? AND Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq? AND Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?	Buy2¢	$10
117d	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes12¢	$308
117d	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	BuyYes91¢	$1,004
118d	Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5	BuyOver51¢	$101
118d	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	BuyYes70¢	$106
118d	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	BuyYes62¢	$107
118d	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BuyYes69¢	$104
118d	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	BuyYes70¢	$106
118d	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	BuyYes43¢	$109
118d	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	BuyYes91¢	$1,003
118d	Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5	BuyOver63¢	$30
118d	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	Buy67¢	$101
118d	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	BuyYes62¢	$101
118d	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BuyYes68¢	$101
118d	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	BuyYes69¢	$101
118d	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	BuyYes90¢	$912
118d	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Buy27¢	$31
118d	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	BuyYes91¢	$100
118d	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	BuyYes89¢	$100
118d	Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score	BuyYes8¢	$10

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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