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Polymarket wallet 0x3618ba9e38b2d8de42ea06cb35e36f2caabd21cf · on Polymarket since Mar 5, 2026 · also shown as Excitable-Cowbell
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 833 | 24¢ → 10¢ | $79 | −$121 −60% |
| Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 419 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 764 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Iga Swiatek Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 164 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 684 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$458 −100% |
| Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem | Ian Machado Garry | 100 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 21 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.