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Polymarket wallet 0x39584854f036c72ef0e43019cab7ebb43e9e5860 · on Polymarket since Jul 30, 2026 · also shown as Average-Valley-Duration
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 79¢ → 85¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$0 −21% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 119 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes7¢ | $1 |
| 74d | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyNo33¢ | $1 |
| 74d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyNo79¢ | $1 |
| 76d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $5 |
| 76d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $5 |
| 76d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BuyUp7¢ | $5 |
| 76d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BuyUp11¢ | $5 |
| 76d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.